28 Jun 13
We are struggling! ……. Yes, I thought that might get your attention.
We are struggling! ……. Yes, I thought that might get your attention.
We are in fact struggling with both our lettings and sales portfolio, both of which are diminishing.
We had said that the market was buoyant and we had predicted that demand would at some point
outstrip supply!
Ladies, Gentlemen, Prophets of Doom, Sceptics, all those who dismissed my quarterly rants of
cautious optimism………………… we have arrived!
The past few months, (since I last put pen to paper) have been truly extraordinary. The demand for
lettings has left us with what can only be described as a lettings portfolio on a hunger strike, we are
running at an average of 5 properties and know of other agents with zero on their portfolio.
In turn the price hike generally across the board has been quite spectacular with several of our
portfolio Landlords re-confirming that there statements showing increased yields are indeed correct.
Note of course that we have just come out of a lettings market driven by oversupply resulting in a
weakened market. Just to be clear and for the avoidance of doubt, we have seen some units jump in
price by up to 25% over a period of just 3-4 months.
The sales market has been no different, with the overriding factor being lack of supply and wellpriced properties, many of which we had highlighted as good value, being sold over the past few
months. Clearly we are massively encouraged by this and dare I say it again, we had suggested that
this would be the case. Sales are buoyant across the entire three main markets (low, mid and high)
with the mid and high end properties seeing the healthiest margin and higher volumes of sales.
This may be driven by that fact that the recent developments of Waterport Terraces, Nelsons and
Cumberland estates may have taken a little of wind out of the sails at the lower end.
Another market which is seeing strong growth is the £1m plus market, yet again a factor we have
also been making reference to over the past 12 months and a clear indicator of the calibre and the
confidence in our economy by some of the wealthier clients in Gibraltar. We are of course delighted
that BMI was involved in the sale of Lind House and Beaulieu House (in the South District), both of
which will see a massive improvement of the area with two or three stunning Villas developed on
the plots.
I guess the question that you may ask yourselves is why? …more importantly why now?
Well, we think that there are various factors surrounding the evident strength in the market and
we believe that the obvious indicator is clearly demand outstripping supply. Importantly though,
it would also be fair to include the fact that the economy, as indicated by the Chief Minister in this
year’s budget, is strong with growth in GDP of 7.8%, GDP per capita of £41,138 placing us in 4
position globally and a net debt of approx. 24% of GDP.
Clearly the above measure up to a robust and confident economy and adds a great deal of weight
to what we consider underpins the main reason to our recent success’ in the market; that being
Gibraltar and the product. Some may argue that it’s the influx of ex-pat Spanish residents returning
to Gib, or a local market able to move up the ladder given improved earnings and existing equity, or
the increase in HNWI’s leaving their high taxed homeland and taking up residency on the Rock – the
fact is that it’s all of the above combined that delivers the answer on why the past few months have
pushed up the property market to the levels that we are experiencing.
Wishing you all a great summer ahead and in the fine words of Mr Richard Quest, whatever you are up to, “we hope its profitable”!..
Yours Sincerely
Louis Montegriffo
Managing Director